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Satellite-based precision agriculture

Monitor crop health and forecast yields at regional scale, from space.

±8%
Yield-forecast accuracy
6-10 wk
Pre-harvest lead time
+3 wk
Early stress detection
-90%
Monitoring cost per hectare

The challenge

In West Africa, agriculture employs a major share of the population yet remains vulnerable: water stress, pests, climate variability. Decisions — irrigation, fertilisation, harvest timing — are often made without objective data on the real state of plots scattered across vast, hard-to-reach territories.

For crop insurers and development funders, the lack of reliable yield and loss measurement complicates pricing, claims and aid targeting. What is missing is a way to track crop health and productivity at large scale and low cost.

Our approach

Shift leverages free, recurring satellite imagery — notably Sentinel-2 — to monitor crops plot by plot. We compute vegetation indices (NDVI, EVI, water-stress indices) and track their evolution over time to detect anomalies early: stress, disease, growth delays.

By cross-referencing these image time series with weather and soil data, we train yield-forecasting models that estimate expected production well before harvest, at both plot and regional scale.

These indicators power concrete use cases: agronomic alerts for producers, index insurance automatically triggered in case of drought, impact monitoring for development programmes, and mapping of cultivated areas for public policy.

Architecture

  • Sources: Sentinel-2 (optical), Sentinel-1 (radar), weather and soil data
  • Processing: index computation (NDVI/EVI), cloud correction, per-plot time series
  • Models: regression and LSTM/Transformer for yield forecasting, CNN for crop classification
  • Delivery: web mapping, early alerts, API for index insurance
Models used
CNN (crop-type classification)LSTM / temporal Transformer (yield forecasting)Gradient Boosting (yield estimation)Segmentation (plot delineation)Anomaly detection (crop stress)
Data required
Sentinel-2 satellite imagery (multispectral)Sentinel-1 radar imagery (all-weather)Meteorological data (rainfall, temperature)Soil and topographic mapsGround-truth data (historical yields, plot boundaries)
Return on investment

A crop insurer automates index-insurance triggering and cuts field-assessment costs while speeding up farmer payouts.

Relevant sectors
AgricultureInsuranceDevelopment
Related services
Data & AnalyticsIntelligence ArtificielleConseil IA

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